True AGI could be years—or decades—away. Or it could never happen. But the real question we should be asking about AGI isn’t ‘when.’
“There’s a widening schism between the technologists who feel the A.G.I. – a mantra for believers who see themselves on the cusp of the technology – and members of the general public who are skeptical about the hype and see A.I. as a nuisance in their daily lives,” they wrote.
It’s unclear if the industry will take heed of these warnings. Investors look to every quarterly earnings report for signs that each company’s billions in capex spending is somehow being justified and executives are eager to give them hope. Boosting, boasting about and hyping the supposed promise and inevitability of AI is a big part of keeping investor concerns about the extra $10bn each company adds to its spending projections every quarter at bay. Mark Zuckerberg, for instance, recently said in the future if you’re not using AI glasses you’ll be at a cognitive disadvantage much like not wearing corrective lenses. That means tech firms such as Meta and Google will probably continue making the AI features that they offer today an almost inescapable part of using their products in a play to boost their training data and user numbers.
That said, the first big test of this AI reality check will come on Wednesday when chipmaker Nvidia – one of the building blocks of most LLMs – will report its latest earnings. Analysts seem pretty optimistic but after a shaky week for its stocks, investor reactions to Nvidia’s earnings and any updates on spending will be a strong signal of whether they have a continued appetite for the AI hype machine.
However, if you’re rich and you don’t like the idea of a limit on computing, you can turn to futurism, longtermism, or “AI optimism,” depending on your favorite flavor. People in these camps believe in developing AI as fast as possible so we can (they claim) keep guardrails in place that will prevent AI from going rogue or becoming evil. (Today, people can’t seem to—or don’t want to—control whether or not their chatbots become racist, are “sensual” with children, or induce psychosis in the general population, but sure.)
The goal of these AI boosters is known as artificial general intelligence, or AGI. They theorize, or even hope for, an AI so powerful that it thinks like… well… a human mind whose ability is enhanced by a billion computers. If someone ever does develop an AGI that surpasses human intelligence, that moment is known as the AI singularity. (There are other, unrelated singularities in physics.) AI optimists want to accelerate the singularity and usher in this “godlike” AGI.
One of the key facts of computer logic is that, if you can slow the processes down enough and look at it in enough detail, you can track and predict every single thing that a program will do. Algorithms (and not the opaque AI kind) guide everything within a computer. Over the decades, experts have written the exact ways information can be sent, one bit—one minuscule electrical zap—at a time through a central processing unit (CPU).
This is a ~1 hour 25 minute talk and Q&A discussion at our Center by Etienne Guichard (https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=FWNXN98AAAAJ&hl=en) and Stefano Nichele (https://www.nichele.eu/), titled “A Neural Cellular Automaton Model of Memory Transfer, with application to the ARC-AGI dataset”. Their preprint is here: https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.
Legacy Auto’s Desperation vs. Tesla’s Dominance.
## Abstract.
In the accelerating automobility transformation, legacy automakers like Ford—grappling with $12 billion in EV losses since 2023, including $2.2 billion in H1 2025 and projections up to $5.5 billion for the year—desperately seek Tesla’s technological lifelines, yet Tesla has scant incentive to license its Full Self-Driving (FSD) system.
This report unveils the Darwinian imbalance: Tesla’s unassailable edge in 4.5 billion FSD miles (adding millions daily), propelling intelligent vehicles (IVs) to 10x safer than humans; poised to eliminate over 1 million annual global road deaths, 50 million injuries, and $4 trillion in economic damage annually.
Bolstered by vertical integration, unboxed manufacturing for sub-$30,000 Cybercabs at unprecedented rates, a 70,000+ connector Supercharger network, and robotaxi economics unlocking a $10 trillion market by 2029, Tesla dominates—hastening an 80% decline in private ownership by 2030 per Tony Seba, fostering shared fleets, urban digital twins, and integrated energy systems for sustainable communities worldwide.
Discover why legacy desperation fuels Tesla’s triumph in reshaping transportation.
[Get The Imbalance in Automobility Transformation White Paper](https://cdn.shopify.com/s/files/1/1295/2229/files/The_Imbala…756222023)
Earlier this year, the company confirmed that its next-generation rack-scale AI platforms will abandon pluggable optical modules in favor of co-packaged optics. At the Hot Chips conference, Nvidia shared new details about its upcoming photonic interconnect products – Quantum-X and Spectrum-X Photonics – scheduled for launch in 2026 for InfiniBand and Ethernet, respectively.