China’s AI industry is evolving at a rapid pace, to the point where domestic chip manufacturers are expected to outproduce regional demand, and NVIDIA CEO has warned about the ‘Chinese AI diffusion’ in place.
Ever since China has moved towards focusing on the adoption of domestic AI solutions, the region has seen a massive rise in chip production, since companies like Huawei, Cambricon, Biren, and many others are coming up with AI chips, with the ‘promise’ of replacing NVIDIA’s tech stack entirely. Based on an analysis by Bernstein (via Jukan), it is estimated that China’s AI chip supply is expected to rise significantly over the years, potentially surpassing domestic demand by 2028. This indicates that the nation has plans to move its tech stack towards the global market. NVIDIA’s CEO Jensen Huang has labeled this move as the AI ‘Belt & Road’ Initiative.
Out of all the Chinese AI firms competing, it is expected that Huawei will capture a whopping 50% share by 2026, significantly shrinking NVIDIA’s lead in the region. One of the main bottlenecks faced by firms like Huawei is the lack of semiconductor production capabilities. However, it appears that the firm plans to address this issue soon, through its own fab buildout, which will be facilitated by collaboration with local governments, as well as companies like SMIC. Similarly, Huawei also faces an HBM capacity problem, but based on Bernstein’s estimates, it is expected that all supply constraints will be addressed.






