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ASI Risks: Similar premises, opposite conclusions | Eliezer Yudkowsky vs Mark Miller

A debate/discussion on ASI (artificial superintelligence) between Foresight Senior Fellow Mark S. Miller and MIRI founder Eliezer Yudkowsky. Sharing similar long-term goals, they nevertheless reach opposite conclusions on best strategy.

“What are the best strategies for addressing risks from artificial superintelligence? In this 4-hour conversation, Eliezer Yudkowsky and Mark Miller discuss their cruxes for disagreement. While Eliezer advocates an international treaty that bans anyone from building it, Mark argues that such a pause would make an ASI singleton more likely – which he sees as the greatest danger.”


What are the best strategies for addressing extreme risks from artificial superintelligence? In this 4-hour conversation, decision theorist Eliezer Yudkowsky and computer scientist Mark Miller discuss their cruxes for disagreement.

They examine the future of AI, existential risk, and whether alignment is even possible. Topics include AI risk scenarios, coalition dynamics, secure systems like seL4, hardware exploits like Rowhammer, molecular engineering with AlphaFold, and historical analogies like nuclear arms control. They explore superintelligence governance, multipolar vs singleton futures, and the philosophical challenges of trust, verification, and control in a post-AGI world.

Moderated by Christine Peterson, the discussion seeks the least risky strategy for reaching a preferred state amid superintelligent AI risks. Yudkowsky warns of catastrophic outcomes if AGI is not controlled, while Miller advocates decentralizing power and preserving human institutions as AI evolves.

Can LLMs figure out the real world? New metric measures AI’s predictive power

In the 17th century, German astronomer Johannes Kepler figured out the laws of motion that made it possible to accurately predict where our solar system’s planets would appear in the sky as they orbit the sun. But it wasn’t until decades later, when Isaac Newton formulated the universal laws of gravitation, that the underlying principles were understood.

Although they were inspired by Kepler’s laws, they went much further, and made it possible to apply the same formulas to everything from the trajectory of a cannon ball to the way the moon’s pull controls the tides on Earth—or how to launch a satellite from Earth to the surface of the moon or planets.

Today’s sophisticated artificial intelligence systems have gotten very good at making the kind of specific predictions that resemble Kepler’s orbit predictions. But do they know why these predictions work, with the kind of deep understanding that comes from basic principles like Newton’s laws?

STARSHIP STARPORT NETWORK | Can Rocket Cargo Replace Air & Sea?

💹 Starship’s efficiency could potentially make it highly profitable, “making tons of money like a Tesla.”


🚨 Starship IFT-10’s success has reignited bold ideas for a Starship Starport Global Network.
Could Rocket Cargo really replace today’s air and sea freight? 🚀

In this episode of @overthehorizon, Chris Smedley and Scott Walter join me for a deep dive on the Starport Network vision — offshore launch pads, mobile rigs, and eVTOL last-mile links — and ask if suborbital rocket cargo can outcompete aircraft and ships.

We explore 👇🏽
🚀 How Starship’s scale changes global logistics.
🌍 Why rocket cargo could disrupt ports, airlines, and shipping.
⚡ The “rocket time dilation” effect that multiplies daily throughput.
🛳 From oil rigs to Starports: how offshore hubs could reshape trade.
🔮 First use-cases: military logistics, high-value freight, GCC & island tourism.

Starship Starports may be the end of hubs, choke points, and slow supply chains. But can they really replace air and sea?

This Organ Could Reverse Aging! Greg Fahy

If I had the money this would be the first person I would call.


Can one forgotten organ hold the key to reversing aging? In this exclusive interview, Dr. Greg Fahy — one of the world’s leading longevity scientists — reveals groundbreaking discoveries about the thymus, age reversal, and the future of human health.

From regrowing his own thymus to pioneering cryobiology and organ preservation, Dr. Fahy shares insights that could change how we think about aging, immortality, and life extension. This conversation dives into the science behind reversing biological age, restoring the immune system, and even the possibility of medical time travel.

🔑 Topics covered in this video:

Thymus regeneration and why it may be the “master control” of aging.

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