Connor Leahy from Conjecture joins the podcast to discuss AI progress, chimps, memes, and markets. Learn more about Connor’s work at https://conjecture.dev.

Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction.
01:00 Defining artificial general intelligence.
04:52 What makes humans more powerful than chimps?
17:23 Would AIs have to be social to be intelligent?
20:29 Importing humanity’s memes into AIs.
23:07 How do we measure progress in AI?
42:39 Gut feelings about AI progress.
47:29 Connor’s predictions about AGI
52:44 Is predicting AGI soon betting against the market?
57:43 How accurate are prediction markets about AGI?