Lifeboat Foundation: Safeguarding Humanity
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WHITE SWAN GRAPHICS BY MR. ANDRES AGOSTINI. — QUESTION: IN CORPORATE SETTINGS, IS THERE AN OUTRIGHT COUNTERMEASSURING WHITE SWAN TO THE BLACK SWAN? READ at https://lifeboat.com/blog/2014/04/White-Swan

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001a from Profitable Challenges

WHITE SWAN GRAPHICS BY MR. ANDRES AGOSTINI. — QUESTION: IN CORPORATE SETTINGS, IS THERE AN OUTRIGHT COUNTERMEASSURING WHITE SWAN TO THE BLACK SWAN? READ at https://lifeboat.com/blog/2014/04/White-Swan

Mr. Andres Agostini

Lifeboat Foundation Worldwide Ambassador: https://lifeboat.com/ex/bios.andres.agostini

The White Swan Treatise at https://lifeboat.com/blog/2014/04/white-swan

The « … The Human Race to the Future … » Worldwide Ambassador at http://amzn.to/19H3qf0 POINT OF CONTACT AND QUERY: www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini PROFESSIONAL SERVICE: http://ThisSuccess.wordpress.com

Yesterday’s program, The Next Space Race, on Bloomberg TV was an excellent introduction to the commercial aerospace companies, SpaceX, the Sierra Nevada Company (SNC), and Boeing. The following are important points, at the stated times, in the program:

0.33 mins: The cost of space travel has clipped our wings.
5:18 mins: How many people knew Google before they started?
7:40 mins: SpaceX costs, full compliment, 4x per year at $20 million per astronaut.
11:59 mins: Noisy rocket launch, notice also the length of the hot exhaust is several times the length of the rocket.
12:31 mins: One small step for man, one giant leap for mankind.
12:37 mins: Noisy shuttle launch, notice also the length of the hot exhaust is several times the length of the rocket.
13:47 mins: OPF-3, at one time the largest building in the world at 129 million cubic feet.
16:04 mins: States are luring private companies to start up in their states.
16:32 mins: NASA should be spending its money on exploration and missions and not maintenance and operations.
17:12 mins: The fair market value of OPF-3 is about $13.5 million.
17:19 mins: Maintenance cost is $100,000 per month
17:47 mins: Why Florida?
18:55 mins: International Space Station (ISS) cost $60B and if including the Shuttle program, it cost $150B.
19:17 mins: The size of the commercial space launch business.
21:04 mins: Elon Musk has put $100 million of his own money into SpaceX.
21:23 mins: The goals of NASA and private space do not conflict.

Summary:
1. Cost of ISS is $60B, total cost including the Shuttle program is $150B.

2. SpaceX cost is $20M per astronaut (for 7 astronauts) or a launch cost of $140 million per launch at $560 million per year for 4 launches per year.

3. The next space race is about money.

4. NASA will give a multi billion dollar contract to private space companies to ferry humans & cargo into space and back.

5. Orbiter Processing Facility 3 (OPF-3) valued at $13.5million, and an estimated area of 207,000 sq ft gives a value of $65.22/sq ft.

6. With a maintenance costs of $100,000 gives a per sq ft maintenance costs of $0.48/sq ft/month or $5.80/sq ft/year.

7. Another reason for the Cape Canaveral NASA launch site is the mandatory no/low population down range for rocket launches. At Cape Canaveral this down range is the Atlantic Ocean.

White Swan Update by Andres Agostini at https://lifeboat.com/blog/2014/04/white-swan

White Swan Graphic 1

Divestment in Unburnable Assets Begins at Stanford University http://www.21stcentech.com/divestment-unburnable-assets-begi…niversity/

Will Artificial Intelligence Destroy Us? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ud8-sUovZMI&feature=youtu.be

First living thing with ‘alien’ DNA created in the lab: We are now officially playing God http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/182119-first-living-thing…laying-god

Cyborg Beetles Detect Nerve Gas http://spectrum.ieee.org/nanoclast/at-work/test-and-measurem…-nerve-gas

Carbon nanotube clothing could protect against chemical weapons of mass destruction
http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/182065-carbon-nanotube-cl…poison-gas

Astronomers create first realistic virtual universe http://www.kurzweilai.net/astronomers-create-first-realistic-virtual-universe

Brain ‘noise’ found to nurture synapses http://www.kurzweilai.net/brain-noise-found-to-nurture-synapses

Imaging the crystal edges of 2D molybdenum disulfide http://www.kurzweilai.net/edgy-look-at-2d-molybdenum-disulfide

The White Swan Treatise at https://lifeboat.com/blog/2014/04/white-swan

Essay

An interesting activity that is relevant to Lifeboat concerns has been provided for us by the Foundational Questions Institute, styled FQXi. They recently ran an essay contest on the topic, “How should humanity steer the future?” This contest was announced to Lifeboat members. Fourteen of the 155 posted essays are written by Lifeboat members, and some are written by top scientists. The contest is closed to submissions, but we can still participate.

Members of the public are invited to read and rate essays on the FQXi website. Public ratings will not decide the winners, but they may guide official judges. Essay quality varies, and the best might make a real contribution, so FQXi could use help in finding which are best. Their diversity is also interesting, and might show us paths we could take, and perhaps paths to avoid.

Lifeboat members who submitted essays include James Blodgett, Frank Boehm, Angelika Domschke, James Dunn, Preston Estep, Bob Freeman, Giorgio Gaviraghi, Jacob Haqq-Misra, Orenda Urbano Hernández, Alexander Hoekstra, Ted Howard, Randal A. Koene, Alexander MacRae, Federico Pistono, Walter Putnam, and Tihamer Toth-Fejel.

The essays are posted at http://fqxi.org/community/forum/category/31422

Vote today!

White Swan Update by Andres Agostini at https://lifeboat.com/blog/2014/04/white-swan

Extreme Swan and Ball

All The Wearables You Could Be Wearing Right Now http://www.fastcocreate.com/3030158/infographic-all-the-wear…-right-now

Why Algorithms Are The Next Star Designers http://www.fastcodesign.com/3029756/why-algorithms-are-the-next-star-designers

Scientists identify antibodies against deadly emerging respiratory disease http://www.dana-farber.org/Newsroom/News-Releases/Scientists…sease.aspx

Synthetic Genomics Turning Donor Pig Organs into Suitable Transplants http://www.21stcentech.com/synthetic-genomics-turning-donor-…ansplants/

For the Anti-Genetically Modified Movement This is Not Your Report http://www.21stcentech.com/anti-genetically-modified-movement-report/

“Evolving Notions of Personhood” http://biotroveinvestments.com/biotrove-podcasts/2014/5/4/ev…nald-glenn

Disease Outbreak Warnings Via Social Media Sought by U.S http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-11/disease-out…-u-s-.html

FirstNet CIO builds up his shop http://fcw.com/articles/2014/05/06/gwinn-firstnet-cio.aspx?s=fcwdaily_070514

Please read the entire piece at https://lifeboat.com/blog/2014/04/white-swan

Mr. Andres Agostini
The Lifeboat Foundation Worldwide Ambassador at https://lifeboat.com/ex/bios.andres.agostini
The «… The Human Race to the Future …» Worldwide Ambassador at http://amzn.to/19H3qf0 AND at http://amzn.to/1cujxeG
POINT OF CONTACT AND QUERY: www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
PROFESSIONAL SERVICE: http://ThisSuccess.wordpress.com

White Swan Update by Andres Agostini at https://lifeboat.com/blog/2014/04/white-swan

Extreme Swan and Ball

«… Quants …» AND «… Qualts …» at https://lifeboat.com/blog/2014/05/white-swan-qualts

Alibaba files $1-billion IPO in US at http://businesstech.co.za/news/internet/57025/alibaba-files-1-billion-ipo-in-us/

Three Strategies For Managing The Economy Of Access http://www.forbes.com/sites/stevedenning/2014/05/02/economic…to-access/

‘Electronic blood’ could power computers http://money.cnn.com/2014/05/06/technology/enterprise/ibm-el…index.html

Facial recognition: is the technology taking away your identity? http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2014/may/04/facial-rec…CMP=twt_gu

Facebook Really Is Building The Metaverse http://www.fastcodesign.com/3030126/facebook-really-is-building-the-metaverse

Forget flexible: stretchy electronics will make devices truly wearable http://gigaom.com/2014/05/05/forget-flexible-stretchy-electr…=pulsenews

Magnetic Brain Stimulation May Trump Drugs For Severe Depression http://www.popsci.com/article/science/magnetic-brain-stimula…depression

Patent reform legislation will hurt the American inventor
http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/technology/204995-pat…z310HZaBUg

Three Strategies For Managing The Economy Of Access http://www.forbes.com/sites/stevedenning/2014/05/02/economic…to-access/

Flexible Battery Could Unlock Wearable Electronics http://www.engineering.com/DesignerEdge/DesignerEdgeArticles…onics.aspx

Lockheed Martin and RedEye Team Up to Validate Satellite Design http://www.engineering.com/3DPrinting/3DPrintingArticles/Art…esign.aspx
Read the entire piece at https://lifeboat.com/blog/2014/04/white-swan

Mr. Andres Agostini
The Lifeboat Foundation Worldwide Ambassador at https://lifeboat.com/ex/bios.andres.agostini
The «… The Human Race to the Future …» Worldwide Ambassador at http://amzn.to/19H3qf0 AND at http://amzn.to/1cujxeG
POINT OF CONTACT AND QUERY: www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
PROFESSIONAL SERVICE: http://ThisSuccess.wordpress.com

The White Swan’s «… Quants …» AND «… Qualts …» by Mr. Andres Agostini at https://lifeboat.com/blog/2014/04/white-swan

Extreme Swan and Ball

What is a Quant?

A quant is brand of industrial scientist and engineers who applies mathematical model of uncertainty to financial and/or socioeconomic data and complex financial instruments. And a person who also studies the flaws and the limits of these models, understanding that there is a point of breakdown …. A quant has a combined background of applied mathematics, engineering and statistics. A quant spreads the usage of artificial intelligence in today’s markets …. Whether he or she acknowledges it or not, the quant is extremely AWARE of the many critical short-comings of many quantitative strategies (as he is never interested in qualitative analytics), such as their tendency to lead to crowded trades and their underestimation of the likelihood of chaotic, volatile moves in the markets …. Along with Central Bank chairpersons and world’s finance ministers, quants are the first ones to “…elicit…” that the global economy is being “ …affected…” by “ …systemic risks…”, that systemic risk turbo-charged by several corrupted politicians, manipulative economists and beautiful quants that never understand what the tangible corporate theater of operations is.

Industrial engineering, partly used by so-called Quants, is a branch of engineering dealing with the optimization of complex processes or systems. It is concerned with the development, improvement, implementation and evaluation of integrated systems of people, money, knowledge, information, equipment, energy, materials, analysis and synthesis, as well as the mathematical, physical and social sciences together with the principles and methods of engineering design to specify, predict, and evaluate the results to be obtained from such systems or processes. Its underlying concepts overlap considerably with certain business-oriented disciplines such as operations management. Black Swans are the brainchildren of quants.

And then:

What is a Qualt?

A qualt is brand of systems engineering who applies mathematical and ESPECIALLY non-mathematical models of uncertainty to financial and ESPECIALLY non-financial data and complex industrial operations. And a person who also studies the errors, the flaws and the limits of these qualitative models, understanding that there is a point of (i) inflection and (ii) Event horizon, in anything pursued by the for-lucre corporations …. A qualt has a combined background of advanced management, extreme project management (Agile) and systems engineering. A qualt spreads the usage of most-advanced business analytics and transformative and integrative risk management …. Whether he or she acknowledges it or not, the qualt is extremely AWARE of the many critical short-comings of many quantitative strategies and works hard at it advance to eliminate every form of downside through qualitative strategies …. For instance, qualts know that “…systemic risks …” are direct brainchildren of (a) Ignorance, (b) Manipulation, © Greed and (d) Corruption.

Systems engineering, hugely embraced by Qualts, is an interdisciplinary field of engineering that focuses on how to design and manage complex engineering projects over their life cycles. Issues such as reliability, logistics, coordination of different teams (requirements management), evaluation measurements, and other disciplines become more difficult when dealing with large or complex projects. Systems engineering deals with work-processes, optimization methods, and risk management tools in such projects. It overlaps technical and human-centered disciplines such as control engineering, industrial engineering, organizational studies, and project management. Systems Engineering ensures that all likely aspects of a project or system are considered, and integrated into a whole. White Swans are the brainchildren of Qualts.

Read the entire piece at https://lifeboat.com/blog/2014/04/white-swan

Mr. Andres Agostini
The Lifeboat Foundation Worldwide Ambassador at https://lifeboat.com/ex/bios.andres.agostini
The «… The Human Race to the Future …» Worldwide Ambassador at http://amzn.to/19H3qf0 AND at http://amzn.to/1cujxeG
POINT OF CONTACT AND QUERY: www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
PROFESSIONAL SERVICE: http://ThisSuccess.wordpress.com