Between late 2019 and early 2020, the red supergiant Betelgeuse showed signs of weakening that led many to wonder whether its long-expected explosion into a supernova just a few hundred light-years from the Solar System might be imminent. Other ideas were put forward, and more recently, fresh data have shed new light on the question.

It’s well established that stars with masses greater than eight to ten times that of the Sun won’t end up as white dwarfs like our Sun will. Instead, they explode as type II supernovae, leaving behind a neutron star and sometimes, if the mass is high enough, a stellar black hole.

Located roughly 650 light-years from Earth in the constellation Orion, Betelgeuse is one of these stars, and it’s clearly nearing the end of its life. It sits in the red supergiant phase, outside the main sequence on the Hertzsprung–Russell diagram.