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Why I Am MUCH LESS Concerned About Tesla Robotaxi Now (Waymo Disasters)

Questions to inspire discussion.

📈 Q: How has Waymo’s crash rate changed over time? A: Waymo’s crash rate increased 8x from 10 to 80 per deployed vehicle between 2024 and 2025, despite only a 2-6x increase in fleet size, indicating a potential decrease in safety.

Operational Insights.

🤖 Q: What proportion of Waymo crashes involved fully autonomous vehicles? A: 521 out of 696 crashes (74.9%) involved fully autonomous vehicles without safety operators, while 167 had an onboard safety operator and 5 had a remote operator.

Market Expansion.

🌎 Q: How has Waymo’s expansion affected its safety record? A: Waymo’s aggressive scaling into new markets like Georgia and Austin, in response to Tesla’s growth, may be contributing to the higher crash rate beyond the increase in deployment rate.

Industry Implications.

🚀 Q: How might Waymo’s statistics impact Tesla’s robo taxi rollout? A: Waymo’s crash statistics provide a precedent for Tesla’s robo taxi safety, potentially reducing adoption risk if Tesla’s numbers are not worse than Waymo’s. ## Key Insights.

Safety and Accident Statistics.

🚗 696 crashes occurred in Waymo accidents between 2024–2025, resulting in 38 minor injuries, 6 moderate injuries, 3 serious injuries, and 3 fatalities, including a dog killed in 2023 and a human fatality in 2025 not involving Waymo.

🔢 Waymo’s crash rate increased 8x from 10 to 80 between 2024–2025, despite only a 2-6x increase in fleet size, suggesting a decrease in safety due to aggressive scaling.

🤖 Of the Waymo accidents, 521 had no remote operator, 167 had a safety operator inside the vehicle, and 5 had a remote operator.

Expansion and Competition.

🏙️ Waymo’s aggressive scaling into Georgia and Austin in response to Tesla’s rapid progress in autonomy led to a dramatic increase in crash rate.

Public Perception and Precedent.

📊 The statistics on Waymo accidents provide a precedent for robo taxi safety, allowing for comparison with Tesla’s performance and mitigating the risk of massive FUD and speculation.

🚘 The first human fatality in a Waymo-related accident in 2025 was caused by a Tesla driver traveling at 98mph, not Waymo itself, potentially affecting public perception of autonomous vehicle safety.

[#Robotaxi](https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Robotaxi&src=hashtag_click) [#Tesla](https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Tesla&src=hashtag_click) [#Waymo](https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Waymo&src=hashtag_click)

XMentions: [@Tesla](https://twitter.com/@Tesla) [@Waymo](https://twitter.com/@Waymo) [@HabitatsDigital](https://twitter.com/@HabitatsDigital) [@JoBhakdi](https://twitter.com/@JoBhakdi)

More:

(https://digitalhabitats.global/blogs/robotaxi-1/why-i-am-muc…-disasters)


Despite concerns about Tesla’s Robotaxi, analyzing Waymo’s incidents and accident statistics makes the speaker less concerned about Tesla’s robotaxi due to mitigated risks, as Waymo’s self-driving cars have been involved in numerous accidents, suggesting that Tesla’s prospects remain promising if its safety statistics are comparable.

Safety Statistics 🚗 Q: How do Waymo’s crash statistics compare to human drivers? A: Waymo’s fatality rate of 0.43% of deployed vehicles is lower than the human fatality rate of 1.25%, suggesting Waymo robo taxis are safer than human drivers. 🔍 Q: What are the key crash statistics for Waymo robo taxis? A: Waymo reported 696 physical crashes, 38 minor injuries, 6 moderate injuries, 3 serious injuries, and 3 human fatalities (including a dog) as of March 2024. Safety Trends 📈 Q: How has Waymo’s crash rate changed over time?

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