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NOVEMBER 4, 2008 PREDICTION


Our next president.

I am writing this short piece just so it is on record that I predicted that Fred Thompson would win the 2008 election. Note that I am making such a prediction when he only finished 5th in his last primary and at this point few, if any, are predicting his win. So I'm a bit ahead of the curve here!
 
Why will he win? Because there are only three candidates who are strong on defense yet do not offend many Republicans: Giuliani, Romney, and Thompson. Of these three, Giuliani seems to be stumbling badly and Romney is stumbling badly enough to give an opening to Thompson. (As I write this it would not be surprising if Romney won in Michigan but he is still running into some problems.)
 
Most importantly in the January 10, 2008 debate in South Carolina, Fred Thompson did an excellent job and gave his campaign the momentum that it will need to pull away from Romney and Giuliani in case their campaigns get their acts together. On January 11, 2008 after getting confirmation that the debate performance was helping his campaign I wrote to many people and let them know my prediction and today I am telling it to you.
 
I expect the Democratic nominee to lose the election because they will be weak on defense and the War on Terror is still a decisive issue, particularly as Iran goes nuclear.
 
Eric Klien
 
01/13/08 Update: Posted on Atlas Shrugs to provide evidence of prediction.
 
01/14/08 Update: Prediction also placed on InstaPundit to provide evidence of prediction.