{"id":86618,"date":"2019-01-12T09:16:10","date_gmt":"2019-01-12T17:16:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/?p=86618"},"modified":"2019-01-21T00:20:23","modified_gmt":"2019-01-21T08:20:23","slug":"moores-law-wrights-law-and-the-countdown-to-exponential-space","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2019\/01\/moores-law-wrights-law-and-the-countdown-to-exponential-space","title":{"rendered":"Moore\u2019s Law, Wright\u2019s Law, and the Countdown to Exponential Space"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Technologies have often been observed to improve exponentially over time. In practice this often means identifying a constant known as the doubling time. Moore\u2019s law is, classically, the empirical observation that the number of electronic components that can be put on a chip doubles every 18 to 24 months. Today it is frequently stated in terms of the number of computations available per unit of cost, a formulation promoted by Kurzweil. Different doubling times describe the rate of advancement in many technologies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A frequently noted competitor to Moore\u2019s law is known as Wright\u2019s law, which has aeronautical roots. Wright\u2019s law expresses the idea that performance of a technology\u2014price or a quality metric\u2014improves by a constant percentage for every doubling of the total number produced. Does exploration of outer space conform to behavior like Moore\u2019s law or Wright\u2019s law? Our results are broadly consistent with these laws. (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.thespacereview.com\/article\/3632\/1\">More<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Technologies have often been observed to improve exponentially over time. In practice this often means identifying a constant known as the doubling time. Moore\u2019s law is, classically, the empirical observation that the number of electronic components that can be put on a chip doubles every 18 to 24 months. Today it is frequently stated in [\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[64,8],"tags":[2102,3234,2128],"class_list":["post-86618","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-singularity","category-space","tag-exponential-change","tag-moores-law","tag-space"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86618","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=86618"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86618\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":86619,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86618\/revisions\/86619"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86618"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=86618"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86618"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}