{"id":76304,"date":"2018-02-25T10:07:59","date_gmt":"2018-02-25T18:07:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/?p=76304"},"modified":"2018-03-03T17:17:58","modified_gmt":"2018-03-04T01:17:58","slug":"icos-altcoins-rise-fall-yet-bitcoin-endures","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2018\/02\/icos-altcoins-rise-fall-yet-bitcoin-endures","title":{"rendered":"ICOs &amp; Altcoins rise and fall\u2014yet, Bitcoin endures"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>At the end of 2017 and the first months of 2018, we witnessed a surge of interest in <em>Initial Coin Offerings<\/em> or <strong>ICOs<\/strong>. Perhaps the word \u201c<em>interest<\/em>\u201d gives too much credit to ICOs. Most are scams. ICOs are <em>pushed through<\/em> by vendor hype, rather than <em>pulled through<\/em> by investor research. They are almost all pump-and-dump schemes.<\/p>\n<p>But what about Bitcoin? It is not a scam, but questions remain about regulation, intrinsic value* and its likelihood to be superseded by something better. Bitcoin skeptics point to two facts: (1) Bitcoin is open source, and so anyone can create an equally good altcoin. (2) Newer coins incorporate improvements that overcome governance and scaling issues: cost, transaction speed, the burgeoning electric needs of miners, or whatever\u2026<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/strip-clubs-lambos-hackers-tale-two-bitcoins\/\"><\/a>While both statements are true, they miss the point. This is not a VHS-vs-Beta scenario. Bitcoin has achieved a 2-sided network and it is <em>free to fold in every vetted improvement that comes along<\/em>. For Bitcoin, all those other coins are simply beta tests.<\/p>\n<p>Even the functional tokens will unwittingly feed their \u201cimprovements\u201d into Bitcoin. For this reason, it is a safe bet that Bitcoin will reign supreme for years to come\u2014perhaps even long enough for the dominos to fall.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Why I rarely consult to ICOs or prospective ICO investors<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I recently presented at cryptocurrency expos in Dubai and Gujarat. As a result of these presentations, my organization now receives ICO pitch decks, white papers and business summaries\u201415 or 20 each week. About \u2154 are sent by investors asking for advice as an investment opportunity, while \u2153 are from issuers seeking accreditation from <a href=\"http:\/\/crypsa.org\">CRYPSA<\/a> or at least a quote than can be used as a comfort statement.<\/p>\n<p>The market potential for consulting to issuers and high-rolling investors is very alluring. Figuring that we could certify gems and advise the dogs (help them to create a more legitimate token), we put together a business plan to address a massive new consulting opportunity. But guess what?<\/p>\n<p>\u2026 They are ALL dogs! That\u2019s right! ICOs are scams. They are not the same as \u2018altcoins\u2019, which is a term more commonly used for open source forks of <a href=\"http:\/\/coinmarketcap.com\">legitimate cryptocurrency platforms<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Now, the SEC has begun to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/sections\/thetwo-way\/2018\/03\/01\/590076973\/sec-investigates-cryptocurrency-offerings\">investigate ICOs<\/a> and for good reason. Most are thinly veiled scams to fleece widows and orphans by ducking under securities regulations. Others are MLM scams, proprietary mechanisms (in which founders or early partners hold all the cards), or they are simply poor\/fake implementations of Blockchain services.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>\n<strong>How to spot an ICO scam<\/strong> (Hint: They are <em>almost all<\/em> scams!) <\/p>\n<p>What fraction of ICOs are scams? More than 97% according CRYPSA. To preserve our reputation, we have suspended a high profit project to endorse the hidden gems. Despite scores of applicants, we simply cannot find any worthy of accreditation, with the exception of a few Bitcoin forks. But, these forks are <em>altcoins<\/em>, and not really ICOs.<\/p>\n<p>Nearly all ICOs that we analyzed fall into one of these categories\u2026<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Veiled securities offerings, designed to duck under securities regulations<\/li>\n<li>Created for the express purpose of pump &amp; dump (without clearly disclosing caps, reserves or pre-mined stakeholders)<\/li>\n<li>A non-functioning coin that can only gain value through MLM. (This is not necessarily criminal, but outside our research and advisory mandate. Such coins are unlikely to provide value without quick, speculative trades and market timing that amounts to \u201cdumb luck\u201d).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-5196\" src=\"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog.images\/icos-altcoins-rise-fall-yet-bitcoin-endures2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"294\" height=\"166\" \/>So, what are the signs that an ICO is a scam? Is there anything you can do\u2014short of hiring an expert\u2014to evaluate each new proposal that comes along?<\/p>\n<p>We don\u2019t advise or recommend holding such risky tokens\u2014but for those attracted to the siren call of ICOs, here are six common tale tell signs that you are dealing with a scam:<\/p>\n<p> <\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>If you received an announcement of an \u2018Air drop\u2019 or a coupon to get 25 or 50% bonus coins, it is a scam<\/li>\n<li>If the value of coins is influenced by your ability to find new investors, it is a scam<\/li>\n<li>If the coin is not based on Satoshi\u2019s blockchain reference code, or is not open source, peer-to-peer and permissionless, then it is very likely a scam. (There are certain, limited exceptions)<\/li>\n<li>If the coin is based on Tangle, then it is a scam\u2014or at least, it is functionally useless\u2014and therefore it is a bad investment risk<\/li>\n<li>If the coin was pre-mined, then it is a scam. All mining by principals, insiders and early buyers must be disclosed and must be at least a full month after the first widely available public announcements<\/li>\n<li>If any advertisement, announcement, affiliate contact or press release ends up in the hands of someone who did not <strong><em>independently contact the issuer<\/em><\/strong> for information and a prospectus, it is most definitely a scam<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Are you like me?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Because most initial coin offerings exhibit these traits, I pass on opportunities to consult or present at organizations and conferences that cozy up to ICOs. This decision limits my participation at many crypto venues, but my conscience is clean and my Bitcoin future is secure.<\/p>\n<p>Resist the siren call and keep your wits about you. You, too, can also avoid the illusory trap of ICOs. Run, hide or just ignore them. \u201c<em>These are not the coins that you are looking for<\/em>.\u201d (with apologies to Obi-Wan Kenobi and Alec Guinness).<\/p>\n<p><strong>* Related:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/awildduck.com\/?p=4904\">Spell it Out: What backs Bitcoin<\/a>?<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/strip-clubs-lambos-hackers-tale-two-bitcoins\/\">ICO\u2019s \u2013vs\u2013 Value: Tale of two Bitcoins<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/awildduck.com\/?p=4366\">Can Bitcoin be Defeated by Legislation<\/a>?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<div id=\"ember6080\" class=\"ember-view\">\n<div class=\"reader-article-content\">\n<p><em><a href=\"http:\/\/bitcoinreferee.com\">Philip Raymond<\/a> chairs <\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/crypsa.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><em>CRYPSA<\/em><\/a><em>, publishes <\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/awildduck.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><em>A Wild Duck<\/em><\/a><em> and hosts the New York <\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/vanquish.com\/_domains\/crypsa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><em>Bitcoin Event<\/em><\/a><em>. He was featuerd at cryptocurrency conferences in Dubai, South Africa and India. <\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/awildduck.com\/?page_id=150\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><em>Click Here<\/em><\/a><em> to inquire about a presentation<\/em>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At the end of 2017 and the first months of 2018, we witnessed a surge of interest in Initial Coin Offerings or ICOs. Perhaps the word \u201cinterest\u201d gives too much credit to ICOs. Most are scams. ICOs are pushed through by vendor hype, rather than pulled through by investor research. They are almost all pump-and-dump [\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":353,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1318,1761,39,1490],"tags":[2971,2161,2972,2973,2974,2978,2976,2977],"class_list":["post-76304","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-cryptocurrencies","category-economics","category-government","tag-altcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-ico","tag-ico-scam","tag-icos","tag-initial-coin-offering","tag-mlm","tag-pump-and-dump"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76304","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/353"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76304"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76304\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":76501,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76304\/revisions\/76501"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76304"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76304"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76304"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}