{"id":235821,"date":"2026-04-24T02:08:42","date_gmt":"2026-04-24T07:08:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2026\/04\/probabilistic-projections-of-global-wind-and-solar-power-growth-based-on-historical-national-experience"},"modified":"2026-04-24T02:08:42","modified_gmt":"2026-04-24T07:08:42","slug":"probabilistic-projections-of-global-wind-and-solar-power-growth-based-on-historical-national-experience","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2026\/04\/probabilistic-projections-of-global-wind-and-solar-power-growth-based-on-historical-national-experience","title":{"rendered":"Probabilistic projections of global wind and solar power growth based on historical national experience"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding-right: 20px\"><a class=\"aligncenter blog-photo\" href=\"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog.images\/probabilistic-projections-of-global-wind-and-solar-power-growth-based-on-historical-national-experience.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>PROLONG, a data-driven probabilistic model of technology growth, projects wind and solar expansion consistent with 2 \u00b0C pathways and faster than current policy scenarios. The 1.5 \u00b0C pathway lies beyond the 95th percentile of projections and meeting this target would require major effort.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PROLONG, a data-driven probabilistic model of technology growth, projects wind and solar expansion consistent with 2 \u00b0C pathways and faster than current policy scenarios. The 1.5 \u00b0C pathway lies beyond the 95th percentile of projections and meeting this target would require major effort.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":662,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,1633,17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-235821","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-policy","category-solar-power","category-sustainability"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/235821","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/662"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=235821"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/235821\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=235821"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=235821"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=235821"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}