{"id":228112,"date":"2025-12-31T01:30:17","date_gmt":"2025-12-31T07:30:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2025\/12\/ai-model-uses-social-media-posts-to-predict-unemployment-rates-ahead-of-official-data"},"modified":"2025-12-31T01:30:17","modified_gmt":"2025-12-31T07:30:17","slug":"ai-model-uses-social-media-posts-to-predict-unemployment-rates-ahead-of-official-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2025\/12\/ai-model-uses-social-media-posts-to-predict-unemployment-rates-ahead-of-official-data","title":{"rendered":"AI model uses social media posts to predict unemployment rates ahead of official data"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"aligncenter blog-photo\" href=\"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog.images\/ai-model-uses-social-media-posts-to-predict-unemployment-rates-ahead-of-official-data.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Social media posts about unemployment can predict official jobless claims up to two weeks before government data is released, according to a study. Unemployment can be tough, and people often post about it online.<\/p>\n<p>Researcher Sam Fraiberger and colleagues recently developed an artificial intelligence model that identifies unemployment disclosures on social media. The work is <a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/pnasnexus\/article\/doi\/10.1093\/pnasnexus\/pgaf309\/8405883\" target=\"_blank\">published<\/a> in the journal PNAS Nexus.<\/p>\n<p>Data from 31.5 million Twitter users posting between 2020 and 2022 was used to train a transformer-based classifier called JoblessBERT to detect unemployment-related posts, even those that featured slang or misspellings, such as \u201cI needa job!\u201d The authors used demographic adjustments to account for Twitter\u2019s non-representative user base, then forecast US unemployment insurance claims at national, state, and city levels.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Social media posts about unemployment can predict official jobless claims up to two weeks before government data is released, according to a study. Unemployment can be tough, and people often post about it online. Researcher Sam Fraiberger and colleagues recently developed an artificial intelligence model that identifies unemployment disclosures on social media. The work is [\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1490,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-228112","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-government","category-robotics-ai"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228112","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/427"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=228112"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/228112\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=228112"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=228112"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=228112"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}