{"id":190756,"date":"2024-06-06T20:31:33","date_gmt":"2024-06-07T01:31:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2024\/06\/the-researcher-trying-to-glimpse-the-future-of-ai"},"modified":"2024-06-06T20:31:33","modified_gmt":"2024-06-07T01:31:33","slug":"the-researcher-trying-to-glimpse-the-future-of-ai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2024\/06\/the-researcher-trying-to-glimpse-the-future-of-ai","title":{"rendered":"The Researcher Trying to Glimpse the Future of AI"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"aligncenter blog-photo\" href=\"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog.images\/the-researcher-trying-to-glimpse-the-future-of-ai2.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Imagine if the world\u2019s response to climate change relied solely on speculative predictions from pundits and CEOs, rather than the rigorous\u2014though still imperfect\u2014models of climate science. \u201cTwo degrees of warming will arrive soon-ish but will change the world less than we all think,\u201d one might say. \u201cTwo degrees of warming is not just around the corner. This is going to take a long time,\u201d another could counter.<\/p>\n<p>This is more or less the world we\u2019re in with artificial intelligence, with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/01\/16\/openais-sam-altman-agi-coming-but-is-less-impactful-than-we-think.html#:~:text=Davos%20WEF-, OpenAI's%20Sam%20Altman%20says%20human%2Dlevel%20AI%20is%20coming%20but, much%20less%20than%20we%20think&text=OpenAI%20CEO%20Sam%20Altman%20said, reasonably%20close%2Dish%20future.%E2%80%9D\">saying<\/a> that AI systems that can do any task a human can will be developed in the \u201creasonably close-ish future,\u201d while Yann LeCun, Chief AI Scientist at Facebook, <a href=\"https:\/\/english.elpais.com\/technology\/2024-01-19\/yann-lecun-chief-ai-scientist-at-meta-human-level-artificial-intelligence-is-going-to-take-a-long-time.html\">argues<\/a> that human-level AI systems are \u201cgoing to take a long time.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Jaime Sevilla, a 28-year-old Spanish researcher, is trying to change that. It is far from clear whether and how the capabilities of the most advanced AI systems will continue to rapidly progress, and what the effects of those systems will be on society. But given how important AI already is, it\u2019s worth trying to bring a little of the rigor that characterizes climate science to predicting the future of AI, says Sevilla. \u201cEven if AI innovation stopped, this is already a technology that\u2019s going to affect many people\u2019s lives,\u201d he says. \u201cThat should be enough of an excuse for us to get serious about it.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Imagine if the world\u2019s response to climate change relied solely on speculative predictions from pundits and CEOs, rather than the rigorous\u2014though still imperfect\u2014models of climate science. \u201cTwo degrees of warming will arrive soon-ish but will change the world less than we all think,\u201d one might say. \u201cTwo degrees of warming is not just around the [\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":661,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[493,6,17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-190756","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-climatology","category-robotics-ai","category-sustainability"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190756","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/661"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=190756"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190756\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=190756"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=190756"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=190756"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}