{"id":16681,"date":"2015-08-25T16:46:34","date_gmt":"2015-08-25T23:46:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2015\/08\/edge-master-class-2015-philip-tetlock-a-short-course-in-superforecasting"},"modified":"2017-06-04T20:24:49","modified_gmt":"2017-06-05T03:24:49","slug":"edge-master-class-2015-philip-tetlock-a-short-course-in-superforecasting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2015\/08\/edge-master-class-2015-philip-tetlock-a-short-course-in-superforecasting","title":{"rendered":"Edge Master Class 2015: Philip Tetlock: A Short Course in Superforecasting"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\\'blog-photo\\' href=\"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog.images\/edge-master-class-2015-philip-tetlock-a-short-course-in-superforecasting.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Philip E. Tetlock presents findings from the Good Judgment Project:<\/p>\n<p>In 1984, Tetlock began holding \u201cforecasting tournaments\u201d in which selected candidates were asked questions about the course of events. Accuracy rates have exceeded IARPA\u2019s expectations.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><em>To arrive at the edge of the world\u2019s knowledge, seek out the most complex and sophisticated minds, put them in a room together, and have them ask each other the questions they are asking themselves. <em><\/em><\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/edge.org\/event\/edge-master-class-2015-philip-tetlock-a-short-course-in-superforecasting\" target=\"_blank\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Philip E. Tetlock presents findings from the Good Judgment Project: In 1984, Tetlock began holding \u201cforecasting tournaments\u201d in which selected candidates were asked questions about the course of events. Accuracy rates have exceeded IARPA\u2019s expectations. To arrive at the edge of the world\u2019s knowledge, seek out the most complex and sophisticated minds, put them in [\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":109,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16681","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-futurism"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16681","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/109"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16681"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16681\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":69671,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16681\/revisions\/69671"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16681"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16681"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16681"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}