{"id":160,"date":"2008-07-15T08:53:33","date_gmt":"2008-07-15T15:53:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/?p=160"},"modified":"2017-06-04T12:14:32","modified_gmt":"2017-06-04T19:14:32","slug":"apophis-asteroid-still-a-risk-for-2036","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2008\/07\/apophis-asteroid-still-a-risk-for-2036","title":{"rendered":"Apophis Asteroid still a risk for 2036"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ontome.com\/2008\/06\/11\/99942-apophis-asteroid-back-on-track-path-of-risk-created\">On April 16, 2008, NASA News Release 08\u2013103 reaffirmed that its estimation of a 1 in 45,000 chance of impact in 2036 remains valid.<\/a> <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.b612foundation.org\/about\/welcome.html\">The B612 Foundation is working towardcs the goal of of significantly altering the orbit of an asteroid in a controlled manner by 2015.<\/A><\/p>\n<p>the B612 Foundation made estimates of Apophis path if a 2036 Earth impact were to occur.<\/p>\n<p>The impact result is a narrow corridor called the \u2018risk corrider\u2019 which would be a few miles wide. Countries estimated to be in the direct path:<\/p>\n<p>- southern Russia,<br \/> - across the north Pacific Ocean (relatively close to the coastlines of the California and Mexico), then<br \/> - right between Nicaragua and Costa Rica,<br \/> - crossing northern Colombia and<br \/> - Venezuela and over the Caribbean islands of Trinidad and Tobago,<br \/> - over the Atlantic Ocean to the west coast of Africa. <\/p>\n<p><br \/> Earth\u2019s Path of Risk for the 99942 Apophis Asteroid that is suspected to be on track for a collision course with earth in the year 2036. This image is self-made from data estimated by the B612 Foundation, this is why it is just an approximation. Credit: Mario Roberto Duran Ortiz Mariordo and the re-use of this image is based on \u2018Fair use\u2019 of public domain info by the B612 Foundation work on Apophis.<\/p>\n<p>The hypothetical impact of Apophis along the path of risk could have more than 10 million casualties, however the threatened zones would be evacuated [as per B612 foundation comment. The threat of casualties would be for a similar sized object, if it was not detected.]. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.sei.aero\/eng\/ptpl.index.php?PageT=ReadNews&amp;act=&amp;ID=108\">Spaceworks Engineering had an award winning plan to send a spacecraft to shadow the Apophis asteroid<\/A><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=HRAo1dN7zMc\">A video Foresight: A Radio Beacon Mission to Asteroid Apophis is on Youtube.<\/A><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.sei.aero\/uploads\/archive\/Foresight_Final_Report.pdf\">The Foresight final report is here<\/A><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/99942_Apophis\"> As of October 19, 2006 [and also April 16, 2008\u2032, the impact probability for April 13, 2036, was calculated as 1 in 45,000. An additional impact date in 2037 was also identified; the impact probability for that encounter was calculated as 1 in 12.3 million.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On April 16, 2008, NASA News Release 08\u2013103 reaffirmed that its estimation of a 1 in 45,000 chance of impact in 2036 remains valid. The B612 Foundation is working towardcs the goal of of significantly altering the orbit of an asteroid in a controlled manner by 2015. the B612 Foundation made estimates of Apophis path [\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36,14,12,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-asteroid-comet-impacts","category-defense","category-existential-risks","category-space"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=160"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":65153,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160\/revisions\/65153"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=160"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=160"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=160"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}