{"id":15566,"date":"2015-07-20T05:06:31","date_gmt":"2015-07-20T12:06:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2015\/07\/an-analysis-of-the-history-of-technology-shows-that-technological-change-is-exponential"},"modified":"2017-04-26T12:57:39","modified_gmt":"2017-04-26T19:57:39","slug":"an-analysis-of-the-history-of-technology-shows-that-technological-change-is-exponential","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2015\/07\/an-analysis-of-the-history-of-technology-shows-that-technological-change-is-exponential","title":{"rendered":"An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\\'blog-photo\\' href=\"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog.images\/an-analysis-of-the-history-of-technology-shows-that-technological-change-is-exponential.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cAn analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential, contrary to the common-sense \u201cintuitive linear\u201d view. So we won\u2019t experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century \u2014 it will be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today\u2019s rate). The \u201creturns,\u201d such as chip speed and cost-effectiveness, also increase exponentially. There\u2019s even exponential growth in the rate of exponential growth. Within a few decades, machine intelligence will surpass human intelligence, leading to The Singularity \u2014 technological change so rapid and profound it represents a rupture in the fabric of human history. The implications include the merger of biological and nonbiological intelligence, immortal software-based humans, and ultra-high levels of intelligence that expand outward in the universe at the speed of light.\u201d \u2014 Ray Kurzweil.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Resilient.Observer\/photos\/a.378103335600415.88887.375904589153623\/853296094747801\/?type=1\" target=\"_blank\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cAn analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential, contrary to the common-sense \u201cintuitive linear\u201d view. So we won\u2019t experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century \u2014 it will be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today\u2019s rate). The \u201creturns,\u201d such as chip speed and cost-effectiveness, also increase [\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":356,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1523,1694,47,2018,64],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15566","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-computing","category-electronics","category-neuroscience","category-ray-kurzweil","category-singularity"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15566","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/356"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15566"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15566\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":56195,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15566\/revisions\/56195"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15566"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15566"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15566"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}