{"id":149852,"date":"2022-11-10T01:23:31","date_gmt":"2022-11-10T07:23:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2022\/11\/arthur-clarks-laws-of-prediction-shermers-final-law"},"modified":"2022-11-10T01:23:31","modified_gmt":"2022-11-10T07:23:31","slug":"arthur-clarks-laws-of-prediction-shermers-final-law","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2022\/11\/arthur-clarks-laws-of-prediction-shermers-final-law","title":{"rendered":"Arthur Clark\u2019s Laws of Prediction &amp; Shermer\u2019s Final Law"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Arthur Clark&#039;s Laws of Prediction &amp; Shermer&#039;s Final Law\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/XKHbY4EkKVA?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Making room for optimism.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p>2bsirius video about:<br \/> Arthur C. Clarke formulated the following three \u201claws\u201d of prediction:<br \/> 1. When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.<br \/> 2. The only way of discovering the limits of the possible is to venture a little way past them into the impossible.<br \/> 3. Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.<br \/> For Shermer:<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.scientificamerican.com\/article.cfm?id=shermers-last-law\">http:\/\/www.scientificamerican.com\/article.cfm?id=shermers-last-law<\/a>.<br \/> Full text of Shermers article:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"zQdQSH2E1B\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/michaelshermer.com\/sciam-columns\/shermers-last-law\/\">Shermer\u2019s Last Law<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;Shermer&#8217;s Last Law&#8221; &#8212; Michael Shermer\" src=\"https:\/\/michaelshermer.com\/sciam-columns\/shermers-last-law\/embed\/#?secret=n98JwwhY2L#?secret=zQdQSH2E1B\" data-secret=\"zQdQSH2E1B\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>For background on Arthur C. Clarke:<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.technobohemia.com\/techboblog\/2010\/2\/5\/clarkes-3-laws-of-prediction-in-speculative-fiction.html\">http:\/\/www.technobohemia.com\/techboblog\/2010\/2\/5\/clarkes-3-l\u2026ction.html<\/a>.<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Arthur_C._Clarke\">http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Arthur_C._Clarke<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Music \u201cWonders of Other Worlds: Ritual\u201d by Kevin Macleod:<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/incompetech.com\/m\/c\/royalty-free\/\">http:\/\/incompetech.com\/m\/c\/royalty-free\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Making room for optimism. 2bsirius video about: Arthur C. Clarke formulated the following three \u201claws\u201d of prediction: 1. When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong. 2. The only way of discovering the limits of [\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":661,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[42],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-149852","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-media-arts"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149852","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/661"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=149852"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149852\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=149852"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=149852"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=149852"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}