{"id":11299,"date":"2014-05-26T16:30:33","date_gmt":"2014-05-26T23:30:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/?p=11299"},"modified":"2017-04-16T22:27:00","modified_gmt":"2017-04-17T05:27:00","slug":"scientific-knowledge-doubling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2014\/05\/scientific-knowledge-doubling","title":{"rendered":"The Lifeboat Foundation Worldwide Ambassador Mr. Andres Agostini\u2019s own White Swan Scientific-Knowledge Doubling Progression, Countermeassuring Every Unthinkable Black Swan, at http:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2014\/04\/white-swan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2014\/04\/white-swan\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>The Lifeboat Foundation Worldwide Ambassador Mr. Andres Agostini\u2019s own White Swan Scientific-Knowledge Doubling Progression, Countermeassuring Every Unthinkable Black Swan, at <a href=\"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2014\/04\/white-swan\">https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2014\/04\/white-swan<\/a><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p> <\/p>\n<p><strong>On Scientific-Knowledge Doubling Progression<\/strong><\/p>\n<p> <\/p>\n<p><strong>(Taken from the White Swan at <a href=\"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2014\/04\/white-swan)\">https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2014\/04\/white-swan)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p> <\/p>\n<p>A) \u201c\u2026HUMAN KNOWLEDGE IS DOUBLING EVERY TEN YEARS [AS PER THE 1998 STANDARDS]\u2026\u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>B) \u201c\u2026COMPUTER POWER IS DOUBLING EVERY EIGHTEEN MONTHS. THE INTERNET IS DOUBLING EVERY YEAR. THE NUMBER OF DNA SEQUENCES WE CAN ANALYZE IS DOUBLING EVERY TWO YEARS\u2026\u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>C) \u201c\u2026BEGINNING WITH THE AMOUNT OF KNOWLEDGE IN THE KNOWN WORLD AT THE TIME OF CHRIST, STUDIES HAVE ESTIMATED THAT THE FIRST DOUBLING OF THAT KNOWLEDGE TOOK PLACE ABOUT 1700 A.D. THE SECOND DOUBLING OCCURRED AROUND THE YEAR 1900. IT IS ESTIMATED TODAY THAT THE WORLD\u2019S KNOWLEDGE BASE WILL DOUBLE AGAIN BY 2010 AND AGAIN AFTER THAT BY 2013\u2026\u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>D) \u201c\u2026KNOWLEDGE IS DOUBLING BY EVERY FOURTEEN MONTHS\u2026\u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>E) \u201c\u2026MORE THAN THE DOUBLING OF COMPUTATIONAL POWER [IS TAKING PLACE] EVERY YEAR\u2026\u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>F) \u201c\u2026The flattening of the world is going to be hugely disruptive to both traditional and developed societies. The weak will fall further behind faster. The traditional will feel the force of modernization much more profoundly. The new will get turned into old quicker. The developed will be challenged by the underdeveloped much more profoundly. I worry, because so much political stability is built on economic stability, and economic stability is not going to be a feature of the flat world. Add it all up and you can see that the disruptions and going to come faster and harder. No one is immune \u2014 not me, not you, not Microsoft. WE ARE ENTERING AN ERA OF CREATIVE DESTRUCTION ON STEROIDS. Dealing with flatism is going to be a challenge of a whole new dimension even if your country has a strategy. But if you don\u2019t have a strategy at all, well, again, you\u2019ve warned\u2026\u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>G) \u201c\u2026By the end of the twentieth century, science had reached the end of an era, unlocking the secrets of the atom, unraveling the molecule of life, and creating the electronic computer. With these three fundamental discoveries, triggered by the quantum revolution, the DNA revolution, and the computer revolution, the basic laws of matter, life, and computation were, in the main, finally solved [\u2026.] That epic phase of science is now drawing to a close; one era is ending and another is only beginning [\u2026.] The next era of science promises to be an even deeper, more thoroughgoing, more penetrating one than the last [\u2026.] Clearly, we are on the threshold of yet another revolution. HUMAN KNOWLEDGE IS DOUBLING EVERY TEN YEARS [AS PER THE 1998 STANDARDS]. In the past decade, more scientific knowledge has been created than in all of human history. COMPUTER POWER IS DOUBLING EVERY EIGHTEEN MONTHS. THE INTERNET IS DOUBLING EVERY YEAR. THE NUMBER OF DNA SEQUENCES WE CAN ANALYZE IS DOUBLING EVERY TWO YEARS \u2026\u201d Brackets are of the author.<\/p>\n<p>And G) above continues here:<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2026 Almost daily, the headlines herald new advances in computers, telecommunications, biotechnology, and space exploration. In the wake of this technological upheaval, entire industries and lifestyles are being overturned, only to give rise to entirely new ones. But these rapid, bewildering changes are not just quantitative. They mark the birth pangs of a new era [\u2026.] FROM NOW TO THE YEAR 2020, SCIENTISTS FORESEE AN EXPLOSION IN SCIENTIFIC ACTIVITY SUCH AS THE WORLD HAS NEVER SEEN BEFORE. IN TWO KEY TECHNOLOGIES, COMPUTER POWER AND THE DNA SEQUENCING, WE WILL SEE ENTIRE INDUSTRIES RISE AND FALL ON THE BASIS OF BREATHTAKING SCIENTIFIC ADVANCES. SINCE THE 1950S, THE POWER OF OUR COMPUTERS HAS ADVANCED BY A FACTOR OF ROUGHLY TEN BILLION. IN FACT, BECAUSE BOTH COMPUTER POWER AND DNA SEQUENCING DOUBLE ROUGHLY EVERY TWO YEARS, ONE CAN COMPUTE THE ROUGH TIME FRAME OVER WHICH MANY SCIENTIFIC BREAKTHROUGHS WILL TAKE PLACE \u2026 \u201d<\/p>\n<p>And G) above continues here:<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2026 BY 2020, MICROPROCESSORS WILL LIKELY BE AS A CHEAP AND PLENTIFUL AS SCRAP PAPER, SCATTERED BY THE MILLIONS INTO ENVIRONMENT, ALLOWING US TO PLACE INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS EVERYWHERE. THIS WILL CHANGE EVERYTHING AROUND US, INCLUDING THE NATURE OF COMMERCE, THE WEALTH OF NATIONS, AND THE WAY WE COMMUNICATE, WORK, PLAY, AND LIVE\u2026\u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>H) \u201c\u2026The knowledge revolution is taking place in small, sharply defined areas. One company generates more U.S. patents than 139 countries do together [\u2026.] This [revolution] generates new EMPIRES and new ghettos [\u2026.] It slams into existing systems and destroys them while creating new systems. Countries and individuals can either surf new and powerful waves of change \u2014 or try to stop them and get crushed\u2026\u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>I) \u201c\u2026Nanotechnologies are broad concept, it\u2019s simply refers to technology where the key features in measuring the small number of nanometers. A NANOMETER IS THE DIAMETER OF FIVE CARBON ATOMS SO IT\u2019S VERY CLOSE TO THE MOLECULAR LEVEL AND WE ALREADY HAVE NEW MATERIALS AND DEVICES THAT HAD BEEN MANUFACTURED AT THE NANOSCALE. IN FACT, CHIPS TODAY, THE KEY FEATURES ARE 50 OR 60 NANOMETERS SO THAT IS ALREADY NANOTECHNOLOGY. The true promise of nanotechnology is that ultimately we\u2019ll be able to create devices that are manufactured at the molecular level by putting together, molecular fragments in new combinations so, I can send you an information file and a desktop nanofactory will assemble molecules according to the definition in the file and create a physical objects so I can e-mail you a pair of trousers or a module to build housing or a solar panel and WE\u2019LL BE ABLE TO CREATE JUST ABOUT ANYTHING WE NEED IN THE PHYSICAL WORLD FROM INFORMATION FILES WITH VERY INEXPENSIVE INPUT MATERIALS. You can\u2026 I mean, just a few years ago if I wanted to send you a movie or a book or a recorded album, I would send you a FedEx package, now I can e-mail you an attachment and you can create a movie or a book from that \u2026\u201d<\/p>\n<p>And I) above continues here:<\/p>\n<p>\u201c \u2026 On the future, I\u2019ll be able to e-mail you a blouse or a meal. So, that\u2019s the promise of nanotechnology. Another promise is to be able to create devices that are size of blood cells and by the way biology is an example of nanotechnology, the key features of biology are at the molecular level. SO, THAT\u2019S ACTUALLY THE EXISTENCE PROOF THAT NANOTECHNOLOGY IS FEASIBLE BUT BIOLOGY IS BASED ON LIMITED SIDE OF MATERIALS. EVERYTHING IS BUILT OUT OF PROTEINS AND THAT\u2019S A LIMITED CLASS OF SUBSTANCES. WITH NANOTECHNOLOGY WE CAN CREATE THINGS THAT ARE FAR MORE DURABLE AND FAR MORE POWERFUL. One scientist designed a robotic red blood cell it\u2019s a thousand times more powerful than the biological version so, if you were to replace a portion of your biological red blood cells with this respirocytes the robotic versions. You could do an Olympic sprint for 15 minutes without taking a breath or sit at the bottom of your pool for 4 hours \u2026\u201d<\/p>\n<p>And I) above continues here:<\/p>\n<p>\u201c \u2026 If I were to say someday you\u2019ll have millions or even billions of these nanobots, nano-robots, blood cell size devices going through your body and keeping you healthy from inside, I might think well, that sounds awfully futuristic. I\u2019d point out this already in 50 experiments in animals of doing exactly that with the first generation of nano engineered blood cell size devices. One scientist cured type-1 diabetes in rats with the blood cell size device. Seven nanometer pores let\u2019s insulin out in the controlled fashion. At MIT, there\u2019s a blood cell size device that can detect and destroy cancer cells in the bloodstream. These are early experiments but KEEP IN MIND THAT BECAUSE OF THE EXPONENTIAL PROGRESSION OF THIS TECHNOLOGY, THESE TECHNOLOGIES WILL BE A BILLION TIMES MORE POWERFUL IN 25 YEARS AND YOU GET SOME IDEA WHAT WILL BE FEASIBLE \u2026\u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>J) \u201c\u2026The world has profoundly changed \u2026 The challenges and complexity we face in our personal lives and relationships, in our families, in our professional lives, and in our organizations are of a different order of magnitude. In fact, many mark 1989 \u2014 the year we witnessed the fall of the Berlin Wall \u2014 as the beginning of the Information Age, the birth of a new reality, a sea change of incredible significance \u2014 truly a new era \u2014 Being effective as individuals and organizations is no longer merely an option \u2014 survival in today\u2019s world requires it. But in order to thrive, innovate, excel, and lead in what Covey calls the new Knowledge Worker Age, we must build on and move beyond effectiveness [long-held assumptions, fallacies and flawed beliefs and faulty conventions]\u2026Accessing the higher levels of human genius and motivation in today\u2019s new reality REQUIRES A SEA CHANGE IN THINKING: a new mind-sets, a new skill-set, a new tool-set \u2014 in short, a whole new habit\u2026\u201d [226] Brackets are of the author.<\/p>\n<p>K) \u201c\u2026All the notions we thought solid, all the values of civilized life, all that made for stability in international relations, all that made for regularity in the economy \u2026 in a word, all that tended happily to limit the uncertainty of the morrow, all that gave nations and individuals some confidence in the morrow \u2026 all this seems badly compromised. I have consulted all augurs I could find, of every species, and I have heard only vague words, contradictory prophecies, curiously feeble assurances. Never has humanity combined so much power with so much disorder, so much anxiety with so many playthings, so much knowledge with so much uncertainty\u2026\u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>L) \u201c\u2026It\u2019s not the case that there are only a fixed number of positions, and if old people don\u2019t die off, there\u2019s no room for young people to come up with new ideas, because we\u2019re constantly expanding knowledge \u2026. Knowledge is growing exponentially. It\u2019s doubling approximately every year \u2026.The problem is I can\u2019t get on the phone with you in the future and say, \u201cWell, I\u2019ve done it, I have lived forever \u2026.This idea of creating a whole virtual body with nanobots, that\u2019s more like a 2050 scenario. But by the 2030s we\u2019ll be putting millions of nanobots inside our bodies to augment our immune system, to basically wipe out disease. One scientist cured Type I diabetes in rats with a blood-cell-size device already \u2026.\u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>L) here continues:<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2026 By 2029, computers will have emotional intelligence and be convincing as people. This implies that these are people with volition just like you and I, not just games that you turn on or off. Is it my father? You could argue that it\u2019s a simulation. But it\u2019s not something you can play with. You don\u2019t want to bring someone back who might be very depressed because the world is very different than they expect and the people they know aren\u2019t around \u2026. It\u2019s not us versus them. We\u2019ve created these tools to overcome our limitations, and we\u2019ve integrated with them already. A.I. today is not in three or four dark federal intelligence agencies; it\u2019s in billions of mobile devices around the world[\u2026.] Early in this decade [2020s], humanity will have the requisite hardware to emulate human intelligence within a $1000 personal computer, followed shortly by effective software models of human intelligence toward the middle of the decade: this will be enabled through the continuing exponential growth of brain-scanning technology, which is doubling in bandwidth, temporal and spatial resolution every year, and will be greatly amplified with nanotechnology, allowing us to have a detailed understanding of all the regions of the human brain and to aid in developing human-level machine intelligence by the end of this decade \u2026. Computers less than 100 m in size will be possible \u2026\u201d Brackets are of the author. [226]<\/p>\n<p>M) \u201c\u2026The real trouble with this world of ours is not that it is an unreasonable world, nor that it is a reasonable one. The commonest kind of trouble is that it is nearly reasonable, but not quite. Life is not an illogicality; yet is a trap for logicians. It looks just a little more mathematical and regular than it is; its exactitude is obvious, but its inexactitude is hidden, its wildness lies in wait \u2026 \u201d [220] [226]<\/p>\n<p>N) \u201c\u2026We believe that the goal is not to predict the future, but to imagine a future made possible by changes in technology, life style, work style, regulation, global geopolitics, and the like. And there are as many viable futures as there as imaginative firms that can understand deeply the at work right now which hold opportunities to become the author of the new. FOR THE FUTURE IS NOT WHAT WILL HAPPEN; THE FUTURE IS WHAT IS HAPPENING. The present and the future don\u2019t about each other, neatly divided between the five-year plan and the great unknown beyond. Rather they are intertwined. Every company is in the process of becoming \u2014 of becoming an anachronism irrelevant to the future, or of becoming the harbinger of the future \u2026\u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>N) continues:<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2026The long-term is not something that happens someday; it is what every company is building or forfeiting [\u2026.] Only those who can imagine and preemptively create the future will be around to enjoy it \u2026 Creating a compelling view of tomorrow\u2019s opportunities and moving preemptively to secure the future are tasks for neither dilettantes nor the merely intellectual curious \u2026 Other companies, the laggards, were more interested in protecting the past than in creating the future \u2026 We believe, and will argue strongly, that a company must not only get to the future first, it must get there for less [\u2026.] And re-engineering charge is simply the penalty that a company must pay for not having anticipated the future [\u2026.] If senior executives don\u2019t have reasonably detailed answers to the \u2018future\u2019 set of questions, and if the answers they do have are not substantially different from the \u2018today\u2019 answers, there is little chance their companies will remain market leaders [\u2026.] For much of the 1980s, IBM had been driving toward the future while looking out the rear-view mirror [\u2026.] Too often, profound thinking about the future and how to shape it occurs only when present success has been substantially eroded [\u2026.] Creating the future is more challenging than playing catch up, in that you have to create your own road map [\u2026.] The goal is not simply to benchmark a competitor\u2019s products and processes and imitate its methods, but to develop an independent point of view about tomorrow\u2019s opportunities and how to exploit them \u2026\u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>N) continues:<\/p>\n<p>\u201c \u2026 Path-breaking is a lot more rewarding than benchmarking. One doesn\u2019t get to the future first by letting someone else blaze the trail [\u2026.] Passengers will get to the future, but their fate will not be in their own hands. Theirs profits from the future will be modest at best. Those who drive industry revolution \u2014 companies that have a clear, permeated view of where they want tom take their industry and are capable of orchestrating resources inside and outside the company to get there first \u2014 will be handsomely rewarded\u2026 The future is not an extrapolation of the past. New industrial structures will supersede old industrial structures [\u2026.] Opportunities that at first blush seem evolutionary will prove to be revolutionary [\u2026.] A commitment substantial enough to beget the perseverance required to create the future must be based on something more than a hunch [\u2026.] But to create the future, a company must first be able to forget some of its past \u2026 \u2018The future was predictable, but hardly anyone predicted it\u2019 \u2026\u201d [87]. [226]<\/p>\n<p>O) \u201c\u2026The future belongs not to those who possess a crystal ball, but those willing to challenge the biases and prejudices of the \u2018establishment.\u2019 The future belongs more to the unorthodox than it does to the prognosticators [\u2026and\/or predictioneers\u2026], more to the movement than to the starry-eyed \u2026. The problem with the future is that is different \u2026. If you are unable to think differently, the Future will always arrive as a [strategic or geostrategic Sputnik Moment] surprise \u2026\u201d<\/p>\n<p>O) continues:<\/p>\n<p>\u201c \u2026 Each revolution in art was based on a re-conception of reality. It wasn\u2019t the canvas, the pigments, or the brushes that changed, but how the artist perceived the world. In the same sense, it\u2019s not the tools that distinguish industry revolutionaries from hummed, not the information technology they harness, not the process they use, not their facilities. Instead, is their ability to escape the stranglehold of the familiar\u2026\u201d [28]. Brackets are of the author.<\/p>\n<p>P) \u201c\u2026A primary theme in Alvin Toffler\u2019s best selling book Future Shock is that society\u2019s rate of change is increasing. Everything around us \u2014 including ourselves \u2014 is rapidly changing. Nothing is stable, permanent, constant, or fixed. Neither is risk. It is an indigenous element in the volatility of life. If anything, risk expands at a greater rate than the societal rate of change \u2014 due to its roots in uncertainty and ignorance of consequences, which multiply during mercurial instability \u2026 \u201d [226]<\/p>\n<p>ON DOUBLINGS BY HARD SCIENCE, HI-TECH AND EFFICIENCY:<\/p>\n<p>Incidentally, every Scientific and Technological Progression available that is into a \u201c \u2026doubling \u2026\u201d order of magnitude is synthesized here:<\/p>\n<p>Doubling A: (# 1 of 10) <\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2026 HUMAN KNOWLEDGE IS DOUBLING EVERY TEN YEARS [AS PER THE 1998 STANDARDS]. In the past decade, more scientific knowledge has been created than in all of human history \u2026\u201d (<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/1nOc5Xm\">http:\/\/bit.ly\/1nOc5Xm<\/a> ). Brackets are of the author. [226]<\/p>\n<p>Doubling B: (# 2 of 10) <\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2026 COMPUTER POWER IS DOUBLING EVERY EIGHTEEN MONTHS. THE INTERNET IS DOUBLING EVERY YEAR. THE NUMBER OF DNA SEQUENCES WE CAN ANALYZE IS DOUBLING EVERY TWO YEARS \u2026\u201d (<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/1gn4CdX\">http:\/\/bit.ly\/1gn4CdX<\/a> ) [226]<\/p>\n<p>Doubling C: (# 3 of 10) <\/p>\n<p>\u201c \u2026IN FACT, BECAUSE BOTH COMPUTER POWER AND DNA SEQUENCING DOUBLE ROUGHLY EVERY TWO YEARS, ONE CAN COMPUTE THE ROUGH TIME FRAME OVER WHICH MANY SCIENTIFIC BREAKTHROUGHS WILL TAKE PLACE [\u2026.] BY 2020 \u2026\u201d (<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/1lZQ1Vc\">http:\/\/bit.ly\/1lZQ1Vc<\/a>) [226]<\/p>\n<p>Doubling D: (# 4 of 10) <\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2026SCIENTIFIC MANPOWER IS DOUBLING EVERY 12 YEARS IN A RATE OF GROWTH MORE THAN THREE TIMES THAT OF OUR POPULATION AS A WHOLE, DESPITE THAT, THE VAST STRETCHES OF THE UNKNOWN AND THE UNANSWERED AND THE UNFINISHED STILL FAR OUTSTRIP OUR COLLECTIVE COMPREHENSION\u2026\u201d [80] (<a href=\"http:\/\/1.usa.gov\/1eyRLTK).\">http:\/\/1.usa.gov\/1eyRLTK).<\/a> [226]<\/p>\n<p>Doubling E: (# 5 of 10) <\/p>\n<p>\u201c \u2026THE FIRST DOUBLING OF THAT KNOWLEDGE TOOK PLACE ABOUT 1700 A.D. THE SECOND DOUBLING OCCURRED AROUND THE YEAR 1900. IT IS ESTIMATED TODAY THAT THE WORLD\u2019S KNOWLEDGE BASE WILL DOUBLE AGAIN BY 2010 AND AGAIN AFTER THAT BY 2013\u2026\u201d [37] (<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/1iptmkn).\">http:\/\/bit.ly\/1iptmkn).<\/a> [226]<\/p>\n<p>Doubling F: (# 6 of 10) <\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2026[THERE IS A] DOUBLING EVERY TWO YEARS [REGARDING THE TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANCEMENT OF] SOLAR ENERGY BY APPLYING NANOTECHNOLOGY TO SOLAR PANELS\u2026\u201d [177] (<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/1jgckIJ).\">http:\/\/bit.ly\/1jgckIJ).<\/a> Brackets are of the author. [226]<\/p>\n<p>Doubling G: (# 7 of 10) <\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2026NANO-GENETIC SEQUENCING DATA \u2026 IS DOUBLING EVERY YEAR\u2026\u201d [177] (<a href=\"http:\/\/slidesha.re\/1f3MUH2).\">http:\/\/slidesha.re\/1f3MUH2).<\/a> [226]<\/p>\n<p>Doubling I: (# 8 of 10) <\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2026KNOWLEDGE IS DOUBLING BY EVERY FOURTEEN MONTHS\u2026\u201d [177] (<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/1dc8Zb4).\">http:\/\/bit.ly\/1dc8Zb4).<\/a> [226]<\/p>\n<p>Doubling J: (# 9 of 10) <\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2026MORE THAN THE DOUBLING OF COMPUTATIONAL POWER [IS TAKING PLACE] EVERY YEAR\u2026\u201d [177] (<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/1mn8Btl).\">http:\/\/bit.ly\/1mn8Btl).<\/a> Brackets are of the author. [226]<\/p>\n<p>Doubling K: (# 10 of 10) <\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2026Like Moore\u2019s Law for silicon electronics, which says that computers are growing exponentially smaller and more powerful every year, molecular systems developed with DNA nanotechnology have been doubling in size roughly every three years,\u2026\u201d says Professor Erik Winfree at the California Institute of Technology (Caltech). [197] (<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/1f3NEMq).\">http:\/\/bit.ly\/1f3NEMq).<\/a> [217] [226]<\/p>\n<p>END OF CITATIONS.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Lifeboat Foundation Worldwide Ambassador Mr. Andres Agostini\u2019s own White Swan Scientific-Knowledge Doubling Progression, Countermeassuring Every Unthinkable Black Swan, at https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2014\/04\/white-swan On Scientific-Knowledge Doubling Progression (Taken from the White Swan at https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/2014\/04\/white-swan) A) \u201c\u2026HUMAN KNOWLEDGE IS DOUBLING EVERY TEN YEARS [AS PER THE 1998 STANDARDS]\u2026\u201d [226] B) \u201c\u2026COMPUTER POWER IS DOUBLING EVERY EIGHTEEN MONTHS. THE [\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":295,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32,38,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11299","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-education","category-engineering","category-futurism"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11299","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/295"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11299"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11299\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51765,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11299\/revisions\/51765"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11299"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11299"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lifeboat.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11299"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}