Forecasting – Lifeboat News: The Blog https://lifeboat.com/blog Safeguarding Humanity Tue, 25 Apr 2017 06:27:42 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.6.2 8 Tech Trends to Watch in 2016 — By Amy Webb | Harvard Business Review https://lifeboat.com/blog/2015/12/8-tech-trends-to-watch-in-2016-by-amy-webb-harvard-business-review Thu, 10 Dec 2015 02:48:57 +0000 http://lifeboat.com/blog/?p=19898 dec15-08-169294734-700x394

“To identify emerging trends, I use a six-part methodology beginning with seeking out those on the fringes doing unusual experimentation or research. Next I look for patterns using my CIPHER model, where I identify previously unseen contradictions, inflections, practices, hacks, extremes, and rarities. Then I ask practical questions, mapping trajectories, building scenarios, and pressure-testing my conclusions.”

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